Presidential-Race.net

This is the next biggest milestone for the Hillary Clinton campaign. Losing a string of successive states (11) to her Democrat challenger Barack Obama, she has bet the farm on Texas (193 delegates worth), and Ohio (141 delegates). Even if she loses, she will still remain in the race at least until Pennsylvania (which votes 22-April and holds a prize of 158 delegates).

Back on 13-February (Presidential-Race.net article link here), Hillary was polling as a win with a double-digit lead in the high-teens to lower-twenties (depends on which poll you observed) in both Texas and Ohio. Today?

• Among independents, polls show Obama leads by 13 percentage points in Texas, 14 in Ohio.
• Liberals seem to favor Obama
• Cross-over Republicans (allowed to vote in Democratic primaries in these states)
• Current polls show a neck-to-neck finish.

Texas holds a unique delegate allocation system that awards more delegates to urban areas with high concentrations of black and young voters (you guessed it, that would seem to favor the Obama camp).

Also in Texas, any voter can show up. Texans can vote while shopping for their corn flakes, in grocery and chain stores doubling as polling stations. (I wonder how they administer that to ensure no double-voting under different names, or by using social-security numbers of IDs of people who have passed away.)

Prediction? Obama comes out by a nose in Texas. Ohio? The personal guess is Clinton, as Hillary seems to do better in northern, middle-America states. In the end, it could go either way to either candidate.

And how many real issues are being addressed by either candidate with real plans to deal with the next 10-years of challenges to our nation? (visit the EXCLUSIVE Presidential-Race.net weekly series on Global Risk, which is the projection of challenges for the next 10-years for our nation).

The video shows the analysts discussing a current Texas draw.

Related posts

• Tide Turning as Clinton Picking Up Ground in Polls (0)
• Super Tuesday Party Divisions and Next Steps of the Race (0)
• Polls suggest mixed effects of Clinton on ticket (0)
• Political Analyst Predictions for Pennsylvania (0)
• Pennsylvania - the Democrat Day After (0)

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